The price of biomethane is influenced by factors such as product quality, area of application, regulatory framework, GHG revenues, demand trends, and available sales markets. To make reliable pricing decisions, we therefore consider not only market prices but also the overall economic environment.
In many marketing models, biomethane prices and GHG quotas interact. That is why we analyze both revenue components in an integrated manner and use them to derive realistic market indicators and marketing options.
Both biomethane and GHG quota prices have shown significant market movement since mid-2024. While different quality classes of biomethane are developing differently, the GHG quota is gaining momentum again.
In recent years, biomethane and GHG quota prices have become increasingly decoupled from each other. This has given rise to new marketing models in which GHG revenues account for a significant share of overall profitability.
We analyze price developments differentiated by:
- GHG quality (e.g., manure, waste, and residue)
- regulatory framework (RED III, GEG, EU ETS)
- demand development in the transport and industrial sectors
- international trade flows